February 25, 2006 12:54 PM by Joe Blackmon
The Dancing with the Stars finale is set to air on Sunday, February 26 at 8PM ET on ABC. After the most recent Dancing with the Stars performance show, Drew Lachey led in regards to the judges’ scoring, but he faces stiff competition in Stacy Keibler who has excelled throughout the entire competition and in Jerry Rice who has a very strong fan base. Reality TV Magazine examined the scoring system and looked at some of the scenarios that could unfold.
The judges’ scores are one half of deciding the outcome of the competition. Drew Lachey currently holds the advantage in the judges’ scores, but there is still another dance to take place on Sunday. If Drew and Cheryl deliver another perfect dance and receive perfect scores from the judges on Sunday, then they will come in first in regards to the judges’ scores. The judges’ vote is Drew and Cheryl’s too lose.
Who will win the viewer vote of Dancing with the Stars? The viewer vote is likely to be extremely close. Jerry Rice has a huge fan base, and many viewers respect the fact that Jerry had much less experience in dance than many of the other contestants and has come as far as he has. Jerry has been 100% dedicated to the competition and has put the same level of energy and effort into his dance training that he put into his football training when he played in the NFL.
To many viewers, Stacy Keibler has been the most consistently great dancer throughout the competition. Stacy has sat atop of the judges’ scoring for much of the competition. Judges Len Goodman and Bruno Tonioli have showered praise on Stacy after numerous performances. There is no denying that Stacy is a beautiful and graceful dancer. Stacy has the talent level where she could easily pursue dance on a professional level after the competition. If viewers vote on overall performance going back to day one, then Stacy Keibler will likely win the viewer vote. The only thing working against Stacy is that some viewers feel that because she has some previous dance experience that it is unfair for her to be in a competition for amateur dancers. There is also some viewer backlash over that Stacy often wears skimpy costumes and plays her “assets” to her advantage.
Drew Lachey has also been one of the better dancers throughout the competition. Drew also chose the exact right time to hit his peak. Drew’s freestyle dance to “Save A Horse, Ride A Cowboy” was the highlight of the competition so far to many viewers. To put it in perspective, Drew’s cowboy dance is likely the bar by which all future dances in the competition will be judged. If Dancing with the Stars goes on for ten seasons, then even in the tenth season, judges will probably be referring back to Drew’s cowboy dance when scoring spectacular dances in the competition. The fact that Drew’s cowboy dance was the last dance that viewers got to see before the final viewer voting could very well propel him to a victory in the viewer voting.
So who do we think will win Dancing with the Stars? Based on the rules of the scoring system, we think that it will probably come down to the viewer vote. The judges will likely score Drew Lachey and Stacy Keibler in the top two positions. If either Drew or Stacy wins the viewer vote, then it is irrelevant if they finish in the number one or two positions in the judges’ scoring. The couple with the highest viewer vote wins in tie-breaking situations. If viewers vote based on the entire competition, then Stacy Keibler has a good chance at coming out on top. However, if previous history in other reality TV based viewer voting competitions is any indication, viewers more often than not vote based on the last performance. Drew Lachey holds the advantage based on the last performance show and thus holds the advantage in the viewer voting.
An unknown factor is Jerry Rice. Jerry is very popular and could actually pull off an upset in the viewer vote. However, even if Jerry does win the viewer vote, he is almost certain to finish in last place on the judges’ scoring. If Jerry is at the bottom of the judges’ scoring, then the only chance he has at winning is in the very unlikely scenario of a three way tie. If there is a three way tie, then Jerry would win as a result of winning the viewer vote. TMZ.com has also reported on another unlikely scenario where Jerry Rice could win the competition. Stacy Keibler could withdraw because of a hurt ankle and Drew Lachey could withdraw if his wife went into labor, and Jerry Rice could win by default.