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Who Will Win Dancing With The Stars?

February 25, 2006 12:54 PM by Joe Blackmon

DrewcherylcowboyThe Dancing with the Stars finale is set to air on Sunday, February 26 at 8PM ET on ABC.  After the most recent Dancing with the Stars performance show, Drew Lachey led in regards to the judges’ scoring, but he faces stiff competition in Stacy Keibler who has excelled throughout the entire competition and in Jerry Rice who has a very strong fan base.  Reality TV Magazine examined the scoring system and looked at some of the scenarios that could unfold.

The judges’ scores are one half of deciding the outcome of the competition.  Drew Lachey currently holds the advantage in the judges’ scores, but there is still another dance to take place on Sunday.  If Drew and Cheryl deliver another perfect dance and receive perfect scores from the judges on Sunday, then they will come in first in regards to the judges’ scores.  The judges’ vote is Drew and Cheryl’s too lose. 

Who will win the viewer vote of Dancing with the Stars?  The viewer vote is likely to be extremely close.  Jerry Rice has a huge fan base, and many viewers respect the fact that Jerry had much less experience in dance than many of the other contestants and has come as far as he has.  Jerry has been 100% dedicated to the competition and has put the same level of energy and effort into his dance training that he put into his football training when he played in the NFL. 

To many viewers, Stacy Keibler has been the most consistently great dancer throughout the competition.  Stacy has sat atop of the judges’ scoring for much of the competition.  Judges Len Goodman and Bruno Tonioli have showered praise on Stacy after numerous performances.  There is no denying that Stacy is a beautiful and graceful dancer.  Stacy has the talent level where she could easily pursue dance on a professional level after the competition.  If viewers vote on overall performance going back to day one, then Stacy Keibler will likely win the viewer vote.  The only thing working against Stacy is that some viewers feel that because she has some previous dance experience that it is unfair for her to be in a competition for amateur dancers.  There is also some viewer backlash over that Stacy often wears skimpy costumes and plays her “assets” to her advantage.

Drew Lachey has also been one of the better dancers throughout the competition.  Drew also chose the exact right time to hit his peak.  Drew’s freestyle dance to “Save A Horse, Ride A Cowboy” was the highlight of the competition so far to many viewers.  To put it in perspective, Drew’s cowboy dance is likely the bar by which all future dances in the competition will be judged.   If Dancing with the Stars goes on for ten seasons, then even in the tenth season, judges will probably be referring back to Drew’s cowboy dance when scoring spectacular dances in the competition.  The fact that Drew’s cowboy dance was the last dance that viewers got to see before the final viewer voting could very well propel him to a victory in the viewer voting.

So who do we think will win Dancing with the Stars?  Based on the rules of the scoring system, we think that it will probably come down to the viewer vote.  The judges will likely score Drew Lachey and Stacy Keibler in the top two positions.  If either Drew or Stacy wins the viewer vote, then it is irrelevant if they finish in the number one or two positions in the judges’ scoring.  The couple with the highest viewer vote wins in tie-breaking situations.  If viewers vote based on the entire competition, then Stacy Keibler has a good chance at coming out on top.  However, if previous history in other reality TV based viewer voting competitions is any indication, viewers more often than not vote based on the last performance.  Drew Lachey holds the advantage based on the last performance show and thus holds the advantage in the viewer voting.

An unknown factor is Jerry Rice.  Jerry is very popular and could actually pull off an upset in the viewer vote.  However, even if Jerry does win the viewer vote, he is almost certain to finish in last place on the judges’ scoring.  If Jerry is at the bottom of the judges’ scoring, then the only chance he has at winning is in the very unlikely scenario of a three way tie.  If there is a three way tie, then Jerry would win as a result of winning the viewer vote.  TMZ.com has also reported on another unlikely scenario where Jerry Rice could win the competition.  Stacy Keibler could withdraw because of a hurt ankle and Drew Lachey could withdraw if his wife went into labor, and Jerry Rice could win by default. 

Reality TV Magazine is your source for Dancing with the Stars news.  For other great Dancing with the Stars news, please also check out SirLinksALot: Dancing with the Stars.

Topics: Dancing With the Stars |

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16 Comments »

16 Responses to “Who Will Win Dancing With The Stars?”

  1. chuck Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 1:39 pm

    Drew and Cheryl are easily the best. Cheryl must be a great teacher and Drew is obviously a hard-working student. Their chemistry is special and they are a joy to watch.

  2. C Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 3:32 pm

    DREW & CHERYL definitely!

    It is more difficult for Cheryl to have taught Drew to LEAD and be the BASE …

    than ..

    Whatshisname to have taught Stacy to be the FLASH and dance naked.

    Drew worked harder .. simple.

    Jerry ….most improved from start.

  3. C Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 3:34 pm

    Added note:

    IMHO .. I do not think the judges should be able to vote ONCE AGAIN …. AFTER the viewing audience has voted. The end result can be too easily manipulated by their vote.

  4. PJ Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 4:31 pm

    As hard as they all worked and have come… Drew & Cheryl’s style, creativity and enthusiasm show they are turning out to be the best couple in this competition
    They are truly a pleasure to watch

  5. Anonymous Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 10:03 pm

    Drew and Cheryl all the way!!!

  6. Howard S Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 10:52 pm

    I just want to see Stacy have a wardrobe malfunction.

  7. Lynda Says:
    February 25th, 2006 at 10:57 pm

    Drew should win all the way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  8. Anonymous Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 12:19 am

    LOL, I still don’t see Stacy’s fans? Where are you Stacy fans? I bet if she wins you’re gonna start posting and insulting the rest, right? Please, don’t be a hypocrite. Stacy needs your support, so at least be brave enought to admit she sucked last week.

  9. JD Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 12:53 am

    It will be Drew and Cheryl PERIOD!! Recognize!!!! They are absolutely AWESOME to watch. They have personality plus and are a gorgeous pair in dancing. Stacy and her partner have NOTHING on Drew and Cheryl. Every week Drew and Cheryl improved and the judges recognized it. My hats off to DREW and CHERYL. CONGRATULATIONS ON YOUR WINNING THE TROPHY!!!! Positive thinking!

  10. jenny Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 12:58 pm

    Drew and Cheryl are absolutely amazing !!! Stacy’s freestyle dance was BORING!! Jerry’s was even better!! Drew should win but Jerry has a lot of fans!!

  11. Anonymous Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 1:29 pm

    If Stacy wins, it would be really unfair. Maybe the show is rigged. Hopefully, the viewers or the producers have been fair about this, if Stacy wins, they will be sending the wrong message to the public, “the only way to get something is by selling yourself.” Drew or Jerry should win.

  12. mary d Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 5:49 pm

    I so hope it is Cheryl & Drew, they were the most exciting dancers of all,and do deserve to win, however, after last years winner not the best, and John Hurley winning anything is possible not only was he not as good, he was such a sore looser. I used to like him, not any more.

  13. Jennifer Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 6:34 pm

    John wasn’t a sore loser last season, his responce to what people were saying showed that he had some class. If anyone was sore it was the fans (knowing that “John should have won”) and especially Kelly and her sour grapes (she seemed really bitter about all the controversey about her “win”).

    I hope this concludes with the best dancer winning (it seem pretty evident after Thursday’s dances… Drew and Cheryl) and not another round of serious disappointment like last season. The only thing it woulod prove in that case is how messed up and unfair the vote system truly is.

  14. kathy cook Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 10:46 pm

    Y E A H ! ! ! ! DREW & CHERYL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! AND THE BEST MAN WON!!!!
    ALTHO, JERRY SHOULD HAVE GONE LONG AGO. SOME OF THE ONES VOTED OFF EARLY IN THE SHOW WERE TONS BETTER THAN JERRY. THAT PART OF THE SHOW WAS A JOKE! BUT THE OUTCOME WAS FANTASTIC!!! HIP HIP HORRAYYYYYYYYY!!!!!!!!!!!!

  15. Jane Doe Says:
    February 26th, 2006 at 11:14 pm

    Yeah, Kathy, even Tatum was better than Jerry and there is no question that Tia, Lisa, and Stacey were also better. Until Drew won I was sure the contest was rigged, and parts of it may have been, but since honest reality prevailed in the end I’ll be back next season.

  16. jj geiger Says:
    November 27th, 2007 at 1:59 pm

    If marie wins we will never watch the show again! It’s not about personality..She can’t dance. Jenny was better than her…

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