July 08, 2006 12:53 PM by Joe Blackmon
With the Big Brother All Stars season just barely underway, it’s really still anybody’s ballgame. However, with one episode and a couple days of Big Brother live feeds, it has become obvious that some houseguests have better odds and stronger alliances than others. There are two core alliances that will likely not be broken. There are also a number of individual players who will likely fall into one of the two core alliances. Who eventually wins Big Brother All Stars could very well come down to who does the best in the early head of household and veto competitions.
The strongest (and by strongest we mean most unbreakable) alliance in the house is likely Will “Dr. Evil” Kirby and Mike “Boogie” Malin. These two have been friends for a number of years and even have a business relationship through Boogie’s restaurants. The importance of their relationship outside of the house is likely more valuable to them than winning the game so don’t expect anything to come between them in the house. We are dubbing this alliance as the “Evil Boogie” alliance.
The second strongest alliance in the house is the four houseguests from Big Brother 6. While these four haven’t been friends for as long as Dr. Will and Boogie, they have remained friends for a year outside of the Big Brother house. While all four might argue and disagree with one another, they are still a very solid alliance. We expect James Rhine, Howie Gordon, Kaysar Ridha, and Janelle Pierzina will stick together all the way to the final four if possible. We are dubbing this alliance as the “Fantastic Four” alliance. (Janelle is the beautiful and strong Invisible woman, Howie is the womanizing and fun Human Torch, James is the strategic and intelligent Mr. Fantastic, and Kaysar is the powerful yet compassionate Thing.)
The remaining houseguests are in part playing the game as individuals, but some have already started to bond with one of the two main alliances. Erika Landin attended the Reality TV Convention in early June with Howie Gordon and James Rhine, and it’s possible that a bond formed there. Erika seems to have also bonded with Janelle Pierzina, and comes across as a clear ally of the Fantastic Four. While this connection did not happen until the game got underway, Jase Wirey also appears to have aligned himself with the Fantastic Four.
Who the remaining six houseguest will align themselves with is still somewhat up in the air. Alison Irwin and Diane Henry appear to be clearly leaning toward the Evil Boogie alliance. Chicken George, Marcellas, Danielle, and Nakomis seem to be floaters. We personally think Danielle and Marcellas probably lean toward the Fantastic Four alliance and Chicken George and Nakomis lean toward the Evil Boogie alliance. We also think that these four will likely flip to whoever they need to align with in order to avoid elimination in the early rounds.
At this moment the odds seem to favor the Fantastic Four. They have the best head of household competitor in Janelle and the best veto competitor in James. Howie, Kaysar, Jase, and Erika are no slouches when it comes to the competitions either, so if these six stick together they could very well dominate the head of household and veto competitions and could pick everyone else off.
However, if Dr. Will, Boogie, or their allies manage to claim both of the spots in one of the early head of household competitions, then they could force the remaining floaters into an alliance. The other shakeup that could occur is if the Evil Boogie alliance decides to align themselves with the Fantastic Four alliance to survive. If these two alliances combine, then they might pick off every floater in the house first before going after each other. Of course this strategy would put Dr. Will and Boogie at a numbers disadvantage in the long run, so it will probably only happen out of absolute necessity.
So who do we think will win Big Brother? If the Fantastic Four alliance runs the table in the head of household and veto competitions, then we think James Rhine has a good shot at making the final two. James will likely do it in true Tom Westman fashion by winning a streak of veto competitions but if anyone can dominate the veto then it’s James. Whether James will win the entire game likely depends on who is sitting beside him in the end. In fact this could play to James advantage, because Howie, Janelle, and Kaysar will all likely believe that they can beat James in a vote. Who of the Fantastic Four would actually win in a vote could in large part depend on who bonds the best with the other players over the next couple of weeks.
If the Evil Boogie alliance wins a couple of the early competitions though, James could be going home early. Dr. Will and Boogie know that Janelle and James are two of the strongest players in the competitions, and they would likely try to take them out first (unless they go after Kaysar for bragging rights). If the game comes down to a shoot-out between Evil Boogie and the Fantastic Four, then they might very well take each other out and it could be the floaters that rise to the top. Jase Wirey and Erika Landin could have a good chance of making it far in the game by aligning with the Fantastic Four because they will be the last two people that the others come after in that alliance.
Who do you think will win Big Brother All Stars? Please post your predictions to the comments section below. Big Brother: All-Stars will be broadcast each week on Tuesdays (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT), Thursdays (8:00-9:00 PM, live ET/delayed PT) and Sundays (8:00-9:00 PM, ET/PT).